Israel’s Occupation of Lebanon Failed. Turkey’s Invasion of Syria Probably Will, Too.

Asher Kaufman, Regan Director of the Kroc Institute for International Peace Studies and professor of history and peace studies, wrote in a Foreign Policy op-ed that the Turkish invasion of Syria could fail in the same way as Israel’s disastrous occupation of southern Lebanon.

“The Turkish government may not have considered the long-term implications of its own invasion of Syria, but if history teaches us anything, just as Israel’s invasion of Lebanon had important, long-lasting consequences for Israel and the Middle East at large, Turkey’s recent military operation is likely to alter the regional balance of power for the foreseeable future,” Kaufman said.

Originally published at on November 7, 2019. 

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